Monday, September 30, 2013

The Future in 3-D


Earlier this summer I had something happen to me for the first time: I broke a tooth.  It wasn't painful (the nerve wasn't exposed), it simply fell off. The only distressing part was when I thought about what it was going to cost because crowns run $1,500 and up.  I checked my bank account then booked an appointment with my dentist for the next day. 



My dentist is a nice chap with a soft touch and comfy chairs.  He explained to me that it could take up to a week to create a crown and that it would cost $1,800.  He then offered me an alternative.  He pointed to a large metal box in the corner of his examination room and said with that he can create a custom-made porcelain crown for me within an hour.  And, more important, it would cost $400.  Anything you say, Doc!



He set to work, first by grinding off all the jagged pieces and creating a suitable surface for the crown to rest upon.  He them stuck a ballpoint pen-sized scanner into my mouth and did a complete 3-D scan of the tooth that the computer analyzed and created a model of the crown.  With the push of a button, that metal box started buzzing and a high-pressure water jet cut the crown out of a block of porcelain. Within 40 minutes it was done. He applied some glue, stuck it in my mouth and hardened the glue with a UV light.  He then told me that if that crown ever fell off, he could make a duplicate and have it put on that day.



That was my first encounter with 3-D printing and it certainly won't be the last.  Many have said the Internet was as revolutionary as the Gutenberg Press.  Well, 3-D printing will be bigger.  Much bigger.  Just as the Industrial Revolution changed all of manufacturing, 3-D printers will re-define almost every aspect of society and it's happening now, as I recently discovered.



Here's what an investment hotshots said about it in an interview:
You can imagine needing to buy a scissors or a screwdriver but instead of going shopping you press a button on your desktop 3D Printer and it appears the next morning in the exact color, shape or sharpness you want. Imagine printing many things as well as what bringing manufacturing into our homes will mean to the world. Plus the plunge in manufacturing jobs that's going to follow.

This is not a dream for the future you know, right now you can buy a 3D printer on Amazon and a guitar has been made from it. Somebody actually printed a gun that fired a bullet, Boeing is already making planes and they've even tested a rocket fuel injection nozzle. 

I see another industrial revolution bigger than the Internet. It's going to transform manufacturing from factories to the residence. If you if you have a vehicle [and need a] discontinued part you can just have it printed on your own layer by layer, atom by atom overnight. It can be done with plastic but also with metals. It's going to redefine medicine, dentistry by printing orthodontists tooth braces, hearing aids are already being fitted precisely to the shape of the inner ear. Body parts like a prosthetic limbs. Somebody gets a jaw shot off in wartime they can just build a new jaw and then they can even spray cells onto it to become skin. 

This is the biggest thing I've seen, much bigger than China and I'm very excited about it because as I said you get a machine from Amazon for $1,300 and that is going to come down over time. Now it's plastic but later going to be bronze, carbon fiber, ceramic cellulose, even food.


You can read the whole thing here.



All these developments make one eager to see what surprises tomorrow brings.

Friday, September 20, 2013

Well, this is interesting...

Are some marketers coming to their senses and realizing that digital marketing is a tactic and not a strategy?  Is "the idea" regaining it's place as the end goal for advertising?  One can hope.
http://www.warc.com/LatestNews/News/EmailNews.news?ID=31969&Origin=WARCNewsEmail&utm_source=WarcNews&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=WarcNews20130920


Tuesday, September 17, 2013

The Bot-Bomb Bubble?


Attention CEOs:  It seems bots are bilking billions from you, and no one in the online ad business is willing to tell you about it.  Except for Mike Shields at Adweek.  Last week, Mike wrote about a report from Solve Media that says advertisers may be on track to blow over $9 billion in online advertising because of fraudulent activity.  Solve Media says that in Q2 46% of web activity and 35% of mobile activity appeared suspicious, i.e. not human.  That's up from 43% and 29% respectively from Q1. 

And, if you're a global advertiser, it gets worse.  Solve Media says the while 46% is a damn big number for the US, it's nothing compared to the rest of the world, especially China (92%), Venezuela (80%) and Ukraine (77%). 

Some in the online ad business question Solve Media's motives (discredit the messenger instead of the message) because it developed CAPTCHAs, and that it is only trying to sway website publishers to use its product.  But Solve Media doesn't track bots.  Its CAPTCHAs, used by more than 6500 publishers globally and which tracks 230 million actual, honest-to-God human interactions, can tell who is human and who (or what) is a bot.  If Solve Media was the only one bringing this to light maybe I wouldn't be too concerned.  But it's not.  Other companies have noticed the growing fraud in online advertising. 

I'm shocked that more CEOs are willing to blindly spend truckloads of cash on online advertising without knowing its effectiveness.  I'm shocked that I haven't heard a chorus of CMOs shouting about this. Maybe it will happen once this story goes mainstream.  Or maybe they'll have had their asses fired before then.  I'm also shocked by the silence from online ad agencies.  It could be that they either are too busy swilling the Kool-Aid or they are aware of the issue but won't say anything while the cash keeps rolling in. I think, though, that just like before the Dot-Bomb explosion, they'll maintain the status quo and take the cash.

Old hands like Bob Hoffman, The Ad Contrarian, has been tracking this story and for years has railed about the unquestioned faith agencies and CMOs have in online advertising and the declining state of the ad business.  A lot more leaders have  to stand up and scream about this because it threatens the integrity of the whole industry. 

Still, the drumbeat continues.  We continue to hear from the digital gurus that all things traditional are Dead, all the rules have changed, and new paradigm has arrived.  The truths of the past are tenets from an ancient, outdated religion to be dismissed by today's advertising atheists.  Yeah, sure, but there's one thing about atheists and it's best summed up in an aphorism misattributed to G. K. Chesterton: "When a man ceases to believe in God, he doesn't believe in nothing.  He believes in anything."  Today's ad leaders and CMOs appear to believe in anything.